One militia on province gave 11% chance of rebellion. Went to upgrade thankfully in time, but during upgrade the chance of rebellion increased to 19%.
Suggest it at least stay at 11%.
If you upgrade a unit while it's in a province the game will concider that unit "not" at the province and you will receive the rebellion chances as if there are no units there.
What happens if attacked while upgrading?
They will defend
Kind of seems like they should be able to defend against uprising too, but ok, good to know.
I still need to read and further understand rebellions more.
I had a province at 15% with two armored cars and a light tank and it rebelled then gave the other player all the units. 
Ouch! I just lost a light tank because my other guy was off the dot. You should have had enough. Year ago one needed about 7 defense to stop rebellion. now it seems around 10 or more to get odds done to zero.
I try to make sure my armour car is nowhere near dot at day change. rather go back then have it turned against me.
Just thinking again about this upgrading.
say i had 10 artillery and 10 anti aircraft in stack and decided to upgrade anti aircraft. If attacked by air who would defend?
I don't know, the 5km rule may comes into play and the AA will shoot the planes but I'm not sure.
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